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FC Koln – Bayern Munich

Bundesliga · January 14, 2026

FC Koln 1–3 Bayern Munich

final score

What we said before the match

1 · FC Koln 9% X · 15% 2 · Bayern Munich 76%
Over 2.5 goals72%
Both teams to score57%
Expected goals0.91 – 2.85
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 9, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.