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FC Koln – Freiburg

Bundesliga · August 31, 2025

FC Koln 4–1 Freiburg

final score

What we said before the match

1 · FC Koln 36% X · 29% 2 · Freiburg 35%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Both teams to score56%
Expected goals1.35 – 1.31
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff August 29, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.