Certor

FC Koln – Heidenheim

Bundesliga · May 10, 2026

FC Koln 1–3 Heidenheim

final score

What we said before the match

1 · FC Koln 51% X · 26% 2 · Heidenheim 23%
Over 2.5 goals55%
Both teams to score57%
Expected goals1.75 – 1.11
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff May 9, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.