Certor

FC Koln – Hoffenheim

Bundesliga · September 16, 2023

FC Koln 1–3 Hoffenheim

final score

What we said before the match

1 · FC Koln 42% X · 27% 2 · Hoffenheim 31%
Over 2.5 goals56%
Both teams to score61%
Expected goals1.60 – 1.34
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 15, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.