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FC Koln – Hoffenheim

Bundesliga · February 21, 2026

FC Koln 2–2 Hoffenheim

final score

What we said before the match

1 · FC Koln 36% X · 26% 2 · Hoffenheim 38%
Over 2.5 goals61%
Both teams to score64%
Expected goals1.55 – 1.59
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff February 20, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.