Certor

FC Koln – M'gladbach

Bundesliga · October 22, 2023

FC Koln 3–1 M'gladbach

final score

What we said before the match

1 · FC Koln 40% X · 26% 2 · M'gladbach 34%
Over 2.5 goals61%
Both teams to score64%
Expected goals1.63 – 1.51
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff October 20, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.