Certor

FC Koln – M'gladbach

Bundesliga · March 21, 2026

FC Koln 3–3 M'gladbach

final score

What we said before the match

1 · FC Koln 40% X · 26% 2 · M'gladbach 34%
Over 2.5 goals59%
Both teams to score62%
Expected goals1.59 – 1.45
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff March 20, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.