Certor

FC Koln – Mainz

Bundesliga · December 10, 2023

FC Koln 0–0 Mainz

final score

What we said before the match

1 · FC Koln 43% X · 29% 2 · Mainz 28%
Over 2.5 goals51%
Both teams to score56%
Expected goals1.51 – 1.20
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff December 8, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.