FC Koln – Mainz
Bundesliga · January 17, 2026
FC Koln
2–1
Mainz
final score
What we said before the match
1 · FC Koln 39%
X · 29%
2 · Mainz 32%
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% |
| Both teams to score | 55% |
| Expected goals | 1.39 – 1.23 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
January 16, 2026.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.