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Fenerbahce – Karagumruk

Süper Lig · October 19, 2025

Fenerbahce 2–1 Karagumruk

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Fenerbahce 81% X · 13% 2 · Karagumruk 6%
Over 2.5 goals75%
Both teams to score54%
Expected goals3.09 – 0.82
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff October 18, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.