Certor

Fiorentina – Atalanta

Serie A · October 29, 2026

Fiorentina 2–2 Atalanta

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Fiorentina 32% X · 26% 2 · Atalanta 42%
Over 2.5 goals55%
Both teams to score59%
Expected goals1.34 – 1.56
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff October 29, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.