Certor

Fiorentina – Bologna

Serie A · May 18, 2025

Fiorentina 3–2 Bologna

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Fiorentina 42% X · 29% 2 · Bologna 29%
Over 2.5 goals46%
Both teams to score51%
Expected goals1.39 – 1.11
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff May 18, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.