Certor

Fiorentina – Como

Serie A · October 18, 2026

Fiorentina 1–3 Como

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Fiorentina 26% X · 27% 2 · Como 47%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Both teams to score52%
Expected goals1.09 – 1.53
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff October 18, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.