Certor

Fiorentina – Frosinone

Serie A · February 11, 2024

Fiorentina 5–1 Frosinone

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Fiorentina 62% X · 22% 2 · Frosinone 16%
Over 2.5 goals56%
Both teams to score53%
Expected goals2.00 – 0.93
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff February 10, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.