Certor

Fiorentina – Genoa

Serie A · April 15, 2024

Fiorentina 1–1 Genoa

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Fiorentina 57% X · 25% 2 · Genoa 18%
Over 2.5 goals45%
Both teams to score46%
Expected goals1.65 – 0.82
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff April 13, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.