Certor

Fiorentina – Genoa

Serie A · February 2, 2025

Fiorentina 2–1 Genoa

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Fiorentina 56% X · 26% 2 · Genoa 18%
Over 2.5 goals45%
Both teams to score46%
Expected goals1.64 – 0.82
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff February 1, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.