Certor

Fiorentina – Genoa

Serie A · May 10, 2026

Fiorentina 0–0 Genoa

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Fiorentina 49% X · 28% 2 · Genoa 23%
Over 2.5 goals44%
Both teams to score48%
Expected goals1.49 – 0.94
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff May 9, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.