Certor

Fiorentina – Juventus

Serie A · March 16, 2025

Fiorentina 3–0 Juventus

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Fiorentina 31% X · 30% 2 · Juventus 39%
Over 2.5 goals43%
Both teams to score50%
Expected goals1.12 – 1.29
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff March 15, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.