Certor

Fiorentina – Napoli

Serie A · May 17, 2024

Fiorentina 2–2 Napoli

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Fiorentina 29% X · 27% 2 · Napoli 44%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Both teams to score55%
Expected goals1.19 – 1.50
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff May 11, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.