Certor

Fiorentina – Napoli

Serie A · January 4, 2025

Fiorentina 0–3 Napoli

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Fiorentina 30% X · 27% 2 · Napoli 43%
Over 2.5 goals48%
Both teams to score53%
Expected goals1.17 – 1.44
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 4, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.