Certor

Fiorentina – Napoli

Serie A · September 13, 2025

Fiorentina 1–3 Napoli

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Fiorentina 28% X · 29% 2 · Napoli 43%
Over 2.5 goals44%
Both teams to score50%
Expected goals1.05 – 1.38
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 13, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.