Certor

Fiorentina – Napoli

Serie A · September 20, 2026

Fiorentina 1–1 Napoli

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Fiorentina 25% X · 27% 2 · Napoli 48%
Over 2.5 goals46%
Both teams to score50%
Expected goals1.01 – 1.51
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 20, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.