Certor

Fiorentina – Parma

Serie A · March 8, 2026

Fiorentina 0–0 Parma

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Fiorentina 53% X · 26% 2 · Parma 21%
Over 2.5 goals46%
Both teams to score48%
Expected goals1.61 – 0.91
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff March 7, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.