Certor

Fiorentina – Pisa

Serie A · February 23, 2026

Fiorentina 1–0 Pisa

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Fiorentina 60% X · 25% 2 · Pisa 15%
Over 2.5 goals42%
Both teams to score41%
Expected goals1.66 – 0.69
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff February 21, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.