Certor

Fiorentina – Roma

Serie A · October 5, 2025

Fiorentina 1–2 Roma

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Fiorentina 37% X · 28% 2 · Roma 35%
Over 2.5 goals48%
Both teams to score54%
Expected goals1.32 – 1.28
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff October 4, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.