Certor

Fiorentina – Torino

Serie A · December 29, 2023

Fiorentina 1–0 Torino

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Fiorentina 48% X · 28% 2 · Torino 24%
Over 2.5 goals42%
Both teams to score46%
Expected goals1.43 – 0.92
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff December 23, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.