Certor

Fiorentina – Torino

Serie A · January 19, 2025

Fiorentina 1–1 Torino

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Fiorentina 50% X · 28% 2 · Torino 22%
Over 2.5 goals42%
Both teams to score47%
Expected goals1.48 – 0.90
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 18, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.