Certor

Fiorentina – Torino

Serie A · September 5, 2026

Fiorentina 1–2 Torino

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Fiorentina 47% X · 27% 2 · Torino 26%
Over 2.5 goals45%
Both teams to score49%
Expected goals1.45 – 1.02
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 5, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.