Certor

Fiorentina – Udinese

Serie A · January 14, 2024

Fiorentina 2–2 Udinese

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Fiorentina 51% X · 27% 2 · Udinese 22%
Over 2.5 goals46%
Both teams to score49%
Expected goals1.56 – 0.94
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 13, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.