Certor

Fiorentina – Udinese

Serie A · December 21, 2025

Fiorentina 5–1 Udinese

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Fiorentina 48% X · 27% 2 · Udinese 25%
Over 2.5 goals46%
Both teams to score50%
Expected goals1.50 – 1.00
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff December 20, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.