Certor

Fiorentina – Verona

Serie A · December 14, 2025

Fiorentina 1–2 Verona

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Fiorentina 54% X · 26% 2 · Verona 20%
Over 2.5 goals46%
Both teams to score48%
Expected goals1.62 – 0.89
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff December 13, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.