Certor

For Sittard – Excelsior

Eredivisie · February 20, 2026

For Sittard 2–1 Excelsior

final score

What we said before the match

1 · For Sittard 47% X · 26% 2 · Excelsior 27%
Over 2.5 goals51%
Both teams to score55%
Expected goals1.59 – 1.15
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff February 14, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.