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Freiburg – Augsburg

Bundesliga · August 23, 2025

Freiburg 1–3 Augsburg

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Freiburg 51% X · 27% 2 · Augsburg 22%
Over 2.5 goals51%
Both teams to score54%
Expected goals1.67 – 1.04
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff August 22, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.