Certor

Freiburg – Darmstadt

Bundesliga · November 25, 2023

Freiburg 1–1 Darmstadt

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Freiburg 73% X · 17% 2 · Darmstadt 10%
Over 2.5 goals71%
Both teams to score59%
Expected goals2.71 – 0.97
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff November 24, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.