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Freiburg – Dortmund

Bundesliga · April 5, 2025

Freiburg 1–4 Dortmund

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Freiburg 29% X · 25% 2 · Dortmund 46%
Over 2.5 goals63%
Both teams to score65%
Expected goals1.43 – 1.82
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff April 4, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.