Certor

Freiburg – FC Koln

Bundesliga · December 17, 2023

Freiburg 2–0 FC Koln

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Freiburg 50% X · 27% 2 · FC Koln 23%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Both teams to score55%
Expected goals1.68 – 1.07
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff December 15, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.