Certor

Freiburg – Hoffenheim

Bundesliga · January 20, 2024

Freiburg 3–2 Hoffenheim

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Freiburg 48% X · 26% 2 · Hoffenheim 26%
Over 2.5 goals61%
Both teams to score63%
Expected goals1.83 – 1.32
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 20, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.