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Freiburg – Holstein Kiel

Bundesliga · January 11, 2025

Freiburg 3–2 Holstein Kiel

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Freiburg 65% X · 20% 2 · Holstein Kiel 15%
Over 2.5 goals70%
Both teams to score63%
Expected goals2.45 – 1.14
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 10, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.