Certor

Freiburg – M'gladbach

Bundesliga · November 4, 2023

Freiburg 3–3 M'gladbach

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Freiburg 47% X · 25% 2 · M'gladbach 28%
Over 2.5 goals63%
Both teams to score65%
Expected goals1.85 – 1.42
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff November 3, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.