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Freiburg – M'gladbach

Bundesliga · February 22, 2026

Freiburg 2–1 M'gladbach

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Freiburg 45% X · 26% 2 · M'gladbach 29%
Over 2.5 goals61%
Both teams to score64%
Expected goals1.77 – 1.39
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff February 20, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.