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Freiburg – RB Leipzig

Bundesliga · May 16, 2026

Freiburg 4–1 RB Leipzig

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Freiburg 26% X · 25% 2 · RB Leipzig 49%
Over 2.5 goals58%
Both teams to score60%
Expected goals1.25 – 1.76
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff May 16, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.