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Freiburg – St Pauli

Bundesliga · September 28, 2024

Freiburg 0–3 St Pauli

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Freiburg 70% X · 22% 2 · St Pauli 8%
Over 2.5 goals45%
Both teams to score36%
Expected goals1.94 – 0.52
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 27, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.