Certor

Freiburg – Werder Bremen

Bundesliga · August 26, 2023

Freiburg 1–0 Werder Bremen

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Freiburg 55% X · 25% 2 · Werder Bremen 20%
Over 2.5 goals59%
Both teams to score59%
Expected goals1.93 – 1.12
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff August 25, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.