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Freiburg – Werder Bremen

Bundesliga · February 7, 2026

Freiburg 1–0 Werder Bremen

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Freiburg 48% X · 26% 2 · Werder Bremen 26%
Over 2.5 goals56%
Both teams to score59%
Expected goals1.72 – 1.22
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff February 6, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.