Certor

Frosinone – Fiorentina

Serie A · September 28, 2023

Frosinone 1–1 Fiorentina

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Frosinone 20% X · 24% 2 · Fiorentina 56%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Both teams to score53%
Expected goals0.99 – 1.83
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 23, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.