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Fulham – Aston Villa

Premier League · February 17, 2024

Fulham 1–2 Aston Villa

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Fulham 34% X · 24% 2 · Aston Villa 42%
Over 2.5 goals55%
Both teams to score58%
Expected goals1.35 – 1.54
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff February 17, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.