Certor

Fulham – Burnley

Premier League · December 23, 2023

Fulham 0–2 Burnley

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Fulham 60% X · 21% 2 · Burnley 19%
Over 2.5 goals55%
Both teams to score52%
Expected goals1.91 – 0.96
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff December 23, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.