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Fulham – Liverpool

Premier League · January 4, 2026

Fulham 2–2 Liverpool

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Fulham 28% X · 25% 2 · Liverpool 47%
Over 2.5 goals57%
Both teams to score59%
Expected goals1.26 – 1.72
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 3, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.