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Fulham – Man United

Premier League · September 20, 2026

Fulham 1–1 Man United

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Fulham 29% X · 28% 2 · Man United 43%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Both teams to score58%
Expected goals1.25 – 1.56
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 20, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.