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Genoa – Atalanta

Serie A · February 11, 2024

Genoa 1–4 Atalanta

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Genoa 20% X · 25% 2 · Atalanta 55%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Both teams to score51%
Expected goals0.95 – 1.71
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff February 10, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.